Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.215796 0.245120 0.276540 0.312661 0.352989 0.396576 0.447201
2026-01-25 0.179948 0.219863 0.265429 0.321115 0.387142 0.462730 0.555607
2026-02-01 0.149889 0.195210 0.249877 0.320286 0.408141 0.513686 0.649576
2026-02-08 0.127301 0.175601 0.236802 0.319379 0.427125 0.562092 0.742977
2026-02-15 0.109536 0.159264 0.225165 0.317890 0.443808 0.607483 0.834717
2026-02-22 0.098359 0.149972 0.221181 0.325184 0.471483 0.667916 0.949119
2026-03-01 0.086834 0.138540 0.212653 0.324768 0.487758 0.713280 1.045384
2026-03-08 0.077362 0.128811 0.205244 0.324713 0.503759 0.758429 1.143258
2026-03-15 0.069472 0.120455 0.198798 0.325064 0.519734 0.803794 1.243352
2026-03-22 0.063966 0.115161 0.196326 0.330879 0.543764 0.861694 1.364342
2026-03-29 0.059736 0.111424 0.195806 0.339412 0.572137 0.927210 1.499758
2026-04-05 0.054860 0.105998 0.191940 0.342032 0.591050 0.978988 1.616617
2026-04-12 0.051186 0.102403 0.190971 0.349616 0.618914 1.047012 1.763769
2026-04-19 0.048038 0.099400 0.190697 0.358246 0.648935 1.119988 1.922570
2026-04-26 0.043690 0.093640 0.185003 0.356936 0.662001 1.166160 2.040600
2026-05-03 0.039839 0.088380 0.179677 0.355718 0.674913 1.212481 2.160914
2026-05-10 0.036337 0.083392 0.174351 0.353958 0.686541 1.256975 2.280082
2026-05-17 0.034366 0.081317 0.174330 0.361927 0.715860 1.332798 2.455478
2026-05-24 0.031617 0.077266 0.170064 0.361431 0.729581 1.382160 2.587662
2026-05-31 0.029179 0.073601 0.166210 0.361350 0.743904 1.433067 2.724646
2026-06-07 0.027016 0.070291 0.162757 0.361725 0.758964 1.485827 2.867083
2026-06-14 0.025591 0.068516 0.162334 0.368122 0.785866 1.561151 3.053042
2026-06-21 0.024525 0.067470 0.163356 0.377513 0.819077 1.649487 3.266272